PLAYBOOK / GROWTH

Assess Expansion Funding Readiness

Organize expansion sources and uses, operating assumptions, milestones, runway, downside cases, and decision timing before financing discussions.

WORKFLOWCHECKLISTREVIEW REQUIRED / NOINDEX
THE WORKING OUTCOME

Produce a reviewable expansion brief with itemized uses, staged milestones, cash needs, downside conditions, and unresolved questions for qualified advisors.

Who this is for: Owners planning a location, equipment, hiring, capacity, or market expansion who need a documented operating case before choosing how to fund it.

01 / GATHER THE RECORDS

Start with current evidence.

  • 01

    Quotes, lease or purchase terms, hiring plan, permits, and vendor lead times.

  • 02

    Current financial statements reconciled to source records and a near-term cash forecast.

  • 03

    Demand evidence, capacity constraints, and assumptions behind expected revenue.

  • 04

    Itemized one-time and recurring uses with timing and contingencies.

  • 05

    Existing debt, guarantees, covenants, and planned owner contributions if applicable.

02 / OPERATING SEQUENCE

Move through the work.

Each step names the action and what completion looks like. Record assumptions and unresolved questions as you go.

  1. 01

    Define the expansion and measurable milestone

    Describe what changes operationally, what customer or capacity problem it addresses, and the evidence that would show the first stage is working. Separate the owner's goal from a revenue or value claim that has not been verified.

    COMPLETE WHEN

    The scope, accountable operator, first milestone, and review date are written down.

  2. 02

    Build dated sources and uses

    List equipment, buildout, deposits, inventory, hiring, training, technology, professional fees, and operating cash by due date. List each proposed source separately and mark whether it is confirmed, available, conditional, or still hypothetical.

    COMPLETE WHEN

    Every material use has an amount source and timing; unconfirmed sources are clearly labeled.

  3. 03

    Test operating assumptions and capacity

    Document expected volume, price, ramp time, staffing, throughput, customer retention, and dependencies. Compare assumptions with current records, supplier or customer evidence, and the people who must run the added operation.

    COMPLETE WHEN

    Each material assumption has evidence, an owner, and a question that would change the case.

  4. 04

    Model runway and downside cases

    Extend the cash forecast through the expansion ramp and obligations. Test a delayed opening, lower early demand, cost overrun, or slower collection separately and show which commitments are reversible.

    COMPLETE WHEN

    The low cash point, repayment or fixed obligation exposure, and stop/resize options are visible.

  5. 05

    Set stage gates before committing

    Break the plan into decision stages such as diligence, permitting, deposit, hiring, opening, and scale. Define evidence, authority, budget, and a pause condition for each. Have qualified professionals review legal, tax, financing, and contract questions.

    COMPLETE WHEN

    A named approver can release, defer, resize, or stop each stage based on written criteria.

03 / DECISION CHECKS

What changes the next move?

  • Sources and uses should reconcile by amount and date, with contingency assumptions visible.
  • Do not rely on an unverified loan amount, approval probability, lender threshold, or revenue guarantee.
  • If a downside case creates an unmanageable fixed obligation or runway gap, resize or defer and review operating alternatives.
COMMON FAILURE POINTS

Keep these visible.

  • Counting conditional financing or grants as committed cash.
  • Ignoring opening delays, ramp costs, training, or working capital after launch.
  • Starting the expansion before one person owns operating capacity and milestone tracking.
04 / TAKE IT INTO THE WORK

Check, assign, and continue.

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SOURCE REFERENCES

Check the current source.

  • SBA: Plan your business ↗

    SBA guidance on business planning, funding requests, and financial projections; it does not establish lender approval criteria.

This playbook is general operating guidance. It does not verify records, replace qualified professional advice, determine eligibility, or guarantee a financial outcome. Review current contracts, source records, and applicable requirements with the responsible professional.

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